US Employment Analysis: Supports Short-term Volatility

This is a sobering analysis of current U.S. employment metrics. As per the earlier post today, investors should not gain any solid conviction from these charts as to whether the worst is over, or if there is more pain and agony still to come for the American economy. Almost every positive chart is offset by a negative one, and vice versa. This helps support the potential for more short-term volatility. Crossroads.

Right now feels like that few seconds of silent suspense before something really big happens. And no one knows which way it's going to go. Whichever way it goes, the charts seem to indicate that the downside looks steep and fast, and the upside looks slow. The U.S. Treasury is likely looking at more precise data, and it does not want to risk the potentially harrowing downside. This may be why it has hinted that it is willing to step in to provide even more stimulus later this year if it needs to, despite all of the green shoots sprouting up.

The outlook from Q2 may help. INTC reported a BEAT with nice growth in sales and, more importantly, a margin surprise. It has maintained it full-year outlook, which should be considered a neutral indicator.

Let's all sing:

Should I stay or should I go, now
If I stay there will be trouble
If I go it will be double
C'mon and let me know
Should I cool it or should I blow...

Disclosure: I do not own INTC shares.
RIP Joe Strummer.

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